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20 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.0%
QPR
24.2%
Draw
28.8%
Leicester

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

QPR

vs
1.40

Leicester

Markets

BTTS64.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).