Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
FC Koln
22.3%
Draw
37.2%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
FC Koln
vs
1.63
Man United
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).