Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Sociedad B
24.9%
Draw
20.4%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sociedad B
vs
0.86
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).