Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Sassuolo
23.3%
Draw
57.2%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Sassuolo
vs
1.73
Como
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).