Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Peterboro
28.2%
Draw
41.6%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Peterboro
vs
1.40
Luton
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).