Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Ternana
27.9%
Draw
45.5%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Ternana
vs
1.53
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).