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30 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.8%
Bromley
17.9%
Draw
10.3%
Harrogate

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Bromley

vs
0.63

Harrogate

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).