Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Cartagena
28.9%
Draw
49.2%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Cartagena
vs
1.28
Burgos
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).