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30 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.7%
AVS
25.0%
Draw
63.4%
Famalicao

Expected Goals (xG)

0.56

AVS

vs
1.65

Famalicao

Markets

BTTS35.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.4%
0-2
14.9%
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
0-4
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).