Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Palermo
20.5%
Draw
11.6%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Palermo
vs
0.80
Mantova
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).