Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Kristiansund
19.0%
Draw
15.6%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Kristiansund
vs
0.98
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).