Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Elgin
29.7%
Draw
48.5%
Stenhousemuir
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Elgin
vs
1.56
Stenhousemuir
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).