Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Orenburg
31.7%
Draw
34.1%
Rubin Kazan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Orenburg
vs
1.14
Rubin Kazan
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).