Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Chesterfield
21.6%
Draw
29.4%
Boreham Wood
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Chesterfield
vs
1.71
Boreham Wood
Markets
BTTS73.6%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).