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25 Oct 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Mechelen
26.5%
Draw
25.2%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Mechelen

vs
1.03

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).