Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Fulham
24.6%
Draw
16.1%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Fulham
vs
0.81
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).