Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Almeria
16.4%
Draw
13.3%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Almeria
vs
1.03
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
1-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).