Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.5%
Darlington
5.7%
Draw
90.8%
Gainsborough Trinity
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Darlington
vs
4.50
Gainsborough Trinity
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.3%
Over 2.591.2%
Over 3.579.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-4
7.0%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-5
6.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
2-4
3.6%
2-5
3.2%
2-3
3.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).