Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Hull
24.5%
Draw
20.6%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Hull
vs
0.77
Northampton
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).