Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Ajaccio
30.1%
Draw
38.6%
Orleans
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Ajaccio
vs
0.99
Orleans
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).