Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Nott'm Forest
36.2%
Draw
30.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.88
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-1
15.3%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).