Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Crystal Palace
28.4%
Draw
24.2%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Crystal Palace
vs
1.08
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).