Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Burton
22.1%
Draw
54.7%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Burton
vs
1.71
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).