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AHT: 00CSV

17 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
Bielefeld
25.8%
Draw
29.9%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Bielefeld

vs
1.36

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).