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AHT: 02CSV

18 Sept 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.4%
Sandhausen
22.4%
Draw
64.2%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Sandhausen

vs
2.00

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).