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23 Apr 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Crowborough Athletic
26.4%
Draw
18.0%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Crowborough Athletic

vs
0.76

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).