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07 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.0%
Genk
22.1%
Draw
18.9%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Genk

vs
1.08

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).