Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Lens
24.3%
Draw
35.3%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Lens
vs
1.31
Aris
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).