Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Lens
18.9%
Draw
20.3%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Lens
vs
1.20
Marseille
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).