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AHT: 02CSV

26 Aug 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.6%
Trabzonspor
22.3%
Draw
17.1%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Trabzonspor

vs
1.29

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS68.1%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
4-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).