Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Aberdeen
27.7%
Draw
20.0%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Aberdeen
vs
0.81
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).