Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.6%
Benfica
7.5%
Draw
1.9%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
3.28
Benfica
vs
0.39
Boavista
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.0%
2-0
13.7%
4-0
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
5-0
8.0%
3-1
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
1-1
3.5%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).