Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Dortmund
18.0%
Draw
12.1%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Dortmund
vs
0.95
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).