Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Fulham
27.0%
Draw
47.6%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Fulham
vs
1.70
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).