Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Buxton
14.7%
Draw
14.9%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Buxton
vs
1.39
Man United
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.581.4%
Over 3.564.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
4-1
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-2
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-1
5.0%
4-0
4.2%
4-2
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).