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AHT: 01CSV

18 Feb 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Volos NFC
27.9%
Draw
23.0%
Giannina

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Volos NFC

vs
0.98

Giannina

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).