Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Mechelen
27.0%
Draw
34.5%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Mechelen
vs
1.33
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).