Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Sporting Gijón
27.9%
Draw
39.1%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.22
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).