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HHT: 11CSV

01 Mar 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Sp Gijon
25.8%
Draw
28.4%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Sp Gijon

vs
1.10

Albacete

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).