Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Accrington
25.5%
Draw
47.4%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Accrington
vs
1.35
Southend
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).