Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Bradford
20.3%
Draw
13.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Bradford
vs
0.72
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).