Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Sheffield United
26.1%
Draw
29.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Sheffield United
vs
1.29
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).