Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Dover Athletic
18.9%
Draw
66.4%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Dover Athletic
vs
2.46
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-3
4.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).