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AHT: 01CSV

12 Aug 2023 · 15:00

QPR

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.1%
Cardiff
27.5%
Draw
41.4%
QPR

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Cardiff

vs
1.45

QPR

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).