Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.4%
Notts County
10.2%
Draw
5.5%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
3.49
Notts County
vs
0.90
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.581.4%
Over 3.564.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
5-0
5.3%
5-1
4.8%
1-1
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).