Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Roma
29.0%
Draw
30.5%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Roma
vs
0.97
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).