Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Pacos Ferreira
19.9%
Draw
58.8%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Pacos Ferreira
vs
2.11
Estoril
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.1%
1-4
3.6%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).