Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Birmingham
27.2%
Draw
31.6%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Birmingham
vs
1.07
Leeds
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).