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20 Aug 2023 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.3%
Ein Frankfurt
12.2%
Draw
6.5%
Darmstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

3.10

Ein Frankfurt

vs
0.84

Darmstadt

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.3%
Over 3.555.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.6%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).