Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Karagumruk
32.8%
Draw
44.6%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Karagumruk
vs
1.45
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).